India retains fastest-growing major economy tag despite demonetisation

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(HT)

India’s economic growth slowed marginally to 7% in October-December from 7.4% in the previous quarter, government data showed on Tuesday, raising eyebrows among experts and economists. The Central Statistics Office (CSO) also retained the advanced estimate for 2016-17 at 7.1%, which is lower than 7.9% of 2015-16, but higher than what most economists have predicted in view of the crippling effect that demonetisation has had on consumption and investment.

The Q3 GDP growth estimate beat analysts’ expectation of 6.4%. Some had even projected the growth to slip below 6%.Analysts point to flaws in the GDP calculations saying it does not factor in the informal sector, which was the worst hit after the government scrapped Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes in a surprise announcement on November 8.The government’s chief statistician TCA Ananth declined to comment on the factors behind the robust estimates for Q3. “We will look for more data to assess the impact of demonetisation,” he said.

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